Single Bar Patterns

Single-Bar Patterns indicate those changes in a price that occur in a single trading bar if your use a minute time frame. The study identifies the following patterns: Gaps, Spikes, Thrust days, Run days, Wide-Ranging days. 신용카드현금화

Gap
A gap forms when the opening price movements create a blank spot on the chart. This happens when the high of the day is below the low of the previous day, or when the low of the day is above the high of the previous day.
Gaps are especially significant when accompanied by an increase in volume.

Thrust Days
· An Upper Thrust day is a day when the market is closed higher than the high of the previous day.
· A Lower Thrust day is a day when the close price is lower than the low of the previous day.

Run days
Run days are the days with a pronounced trend. They are identified using the following criteria:
· True High of the run day should be higher than the highest true high of the previous N days;
· True Low of the run day should be lower than the lowest true low of the following N days;

Wide-Ranging days
To count Wide-Ranging Days, Tradecision uses Jack Swagger’s approach. The study is calculated in the following way: 신용카드현금화

True Range of the current bar is divided into the number of the Average True Range of X (Wide-ranging day length) bars, and if the result is equal to or greater than the Wide-ranging day ratio, the bar is marked as a wide-ranging day.

· Wide-ranging day ratio defines the volatility threshold used to identify wide-ranging days.
· Wide-ranging day length is the number of the previous bars with regard to the current bar.

Spikes
A Spike High is a day’s maximum, which rises sharp above the maximums of the previous and next days. 신용카드현금화
A Spike High is identified by the following:
· a high rise above the days on either side,
· Close near the day’s Low, and
· a strong preceding rally.

The more extreme any of the above conditions is, the greater is the likelihood of a reversal.

A Spike Low – is a day’s minimum, which is much lower than the minimums of the previous and next days.

A Spike Low is identified by the following:
· Falls sharply below the days on either side,
· Close near the Day’s High
· must be preceded by a strong decline. 신용카드현금화

Next Feature

Alyuda Research today announced the integration between its Tradecision trading software and TD Ameritrade brokerage services.

“We’ve joined with TD AMERITRADE in order to give novice and experienced traders even more trading tools and resources – all at an affordable price. Along with the multitude of features available with Tradecision, traders will also get outstanding personal service, innovative technology, and independent research available through TD Ameritrade,” – said Dima Vonko, CEO of Alyuda Research. 신용카드현금화

In addition to the existing one-time payment scheme, exclusively for TD Ameritrade clients, monthly and yearly subscriptions are introduced with the release.

The new version of Tradecision also supports historical data from Interactive Brokers and provides a more broad range of supported orders for Man Financial.

Price and Availability
Tradecision comes in three different versions:

• Standard: $698
• Professional: $1198
• Professional Real-Time: $ 1598

About Alyuda Research
Alyuda Research is an internationally recognized provider of technical analysis and neural network software for companies and individuals. 신용카드현금화

Founded in 2001, Alyuda demonstrates its commitment to innovation and a dedication to its customers by developing high-end solutions with an exceptionally high quality service. The wide range of the company’s products includes two premium- quality trading software applications: Tradecision and AmpleSight (www.amplesight.com). For more information, visit www.alyuda.com.

About the Tradecision Application
Tradecision is a professional trading software application for charting, technical analysis and creation of trading systems. With Tradecision, traders can successfully combine technical analysis with artificial intelligence in any market, in any time frame. For more information, visit www.tradecision.com.

# # #

For more information, please contact:

Alex Grechanowski
Communications Manager
(510) 931-7808
alex@alyuda.com
www.tradecision.com

back to Press Room

Company / Traders We Serve

Short-Term Traders

As a short-term trader, you have very diverse trading needs and high requirements. With Tradecision Professional Real-Time, you can identify short-term trends and receive timely strategy alerts. You don’t have to be racking your brains over finding the right means to analyze trends, create trading strategies and maximize profits for you and your family.

With the help of the clear Improvian language, strategy development tools, and the application’s reliable Data Manager you can attain virtually any of your trading objectives.

Tradecision enables you to: 신용카드현금화

• Perform accurate price action analysis.
• Identify buying and selling opportunities in real time.
• Create sound money management strategies.
• Gain an edge over your competition by using neural networks.

At your disposal, you have a set of analytical studies including Auto-trends, Pivots, Single Bar patterns, Elliott wave, Reversal patterns, Fibonacci, Pitchforks, and Gann, as well as over 100 most popular indicators, such as RSI, PercentR, MACD, Moving averages, Stochastic, Bollinger bands, Chaikin Oscillator. 신용카드현금화

For your convenience, the most reliable money management rules are predefined and easily accessible through the Tradecision point-and-click Money Management Editor.

With fully automated neural networks you can create a profitable trading strategy. You can reduce the time required for optimization of your trading rules and indicators using the fast Genetic Algorithms. At the same time, any over-optimization is automatically prevented by the intelligent algorithms.

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We request personal information when you place an order, register a product, request a service, answer a survey, correspond with us or engage in certain other activities on our website. For example: 신용카드현금화

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With whom we may share your information 신용카드현금화

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Please be advised that in certain instances, it may be necessary for Alyuda to disclose your personal information to government officials or otherwise as required by our legal obligations.

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Alyuda provides a number of ways for you to ‘opt-out’ of receiving additional information from us or having us provide your personal information to our partners. We may offer you these choices at the time you give us your information. 신용카드현금화

If you are on a Alyuda web page that requires personal information but does not offer communication choices, or would like to change your preferences for information that you have previously provided, please use contact information at the bottom of this statement.

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We make a sincere effort to respond to your requests to update or correct your personal information. If you believe that Alyuda does not have your current personal information, you can use contact information at the bottom of this statement. 신용카드현금화

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If you have any questions, comments, or would like to change your communication preferences, please contact us at: privacy@alyuda.com.

Most people have never heard of neural networks and, probably, don’t need to know what they are because of what these people do for a living. It comes as no stunning surprise if a mail man or a bar waitress does not possess a profound knowledge of the issue. But what’s really surprising it’s the fact that a huge number of those who could benefit richly from the neural network technology have either never even heard of it, take it for a lofty scientific idea or think of it as of a slick marketing gimmick. There are also those who pin all their hopes on neural networks, lionizing the nets after some positive experience with them and regarding them as a silver-bullet solution to any kind of problem. 신용카드현금화

All the above attitudes are quite understandable, for all of us get bombarded with TV commercials, pop-up ads, spam messages and door-to-door offerings -you name it- that make you feel like you live for the sole purpose of being sold stuff to. Wherever we are and whatever we are doing – watching football at home or roaming African velds through the Web, there’s always someone trying to pawn something off on us. However, the most important is to always be able to spot the real McCoy in this avalanche of debris. And high technologies are no exception.

Of course, neural networks are no quick-fix that will allow you to strike it rich by clicking a button or two, neither are they a new marketing stunt to make you shell out more money. And of course, they are not an uncorroborated theory or fruit of work of some crackpot scientists. Neural networks are a new, unique method of technical analysis, intended for those who take a thinking approach to their business and are willing to contribute some time and effort to make this method work for them. When applied correctly, neural networks can bring a profit on a regular basis. Well, after all, the latter is time-proven. 신용카드현금화

Why Neural Networks?

You may say, there are all kinds of things invented these days. Why should one pay that much attention to this specific method? The answer is very simple if you look at the current situation on the market. There is hardly anything that can give you some edge though – the market teems with top-notch professionals, conversant with every possible widely adopted method. And all of them are after that buck or pound you want too. Moreover, the traditional trend-following and technical analysis systems yield mediocre results and are geared toward dabblers and beginners who, lets face it, hardly ever make anything these days. No other currently used method of technical analysis can detect those hidden subtle non-linear interdependencies and patterns that neural networks can detect. For a serious thinking trader, neural networks are a next-generation tool, offering much better possibilities than any of the tools the crowd tinkers with.

The Most Powerful Technical Analysis Tool

A major misconception is that many traders mistake neural networks for a forecasting tool that can offer advice on how to act in a particular market situation. Neural networks do not make any forecasts, they analyze price data and uncover opportunities. But with them you can make a trade decision based on thoroughly analyzed data, which all those who use the traditional technical analysis methods do not merely have at their disposal. 신용카드현금화

Which of the Nets Are Better?

Just like any kind of great product or technology, neural networks have started attracting all those who were looking for a budding market. Torrents of ads about next-generation software flooded the market; ads celebrating the most powerful of all the NN algorithms ever created. Even in those rare cases when advertising claims resemble the truth, a 10% increase in efficiency will be the most you will ever get; and still there will be some data sets and task classes for which the previously used algorithms remain superior. Remember this: it’s not the algorithm that does the trick. Well-prepared input information on the targeted indicator is the most important component of your success with neural networks.

Fast Convergence: Good or Bad?

Many of those who have already appreciated the true value of neural networks mistakenly believe that the faster their net gives results to them, the better net it is. These people are in delusion. A good network is more of a compromise between the velocity at which it trains and the quality of the results it produces. 신용카드현금화

How Do Traders Normally Use their Nets?

Alas, improperly, most of the time. Why? Because they place too much trust in the software they use all without having been provided with proper instructions on how to use it correctly. To use a neural network the right way and, thus, gainfully, a trader ought to pay due attention to all the stages of the network preparation cycle. It is the trader and not his net who is responsible for inventing an idea, formalizing this idea, testing and improving it, and, finally, choosing the right moment when to dispose of it when it’s no longer useful. Let us enumerate and consider in more detail all the stages of this crucial process:

Many traders make the mistake of following the simplest path – they rely heavily on and use the approach for which their software provides the most user-friendly and automated functionality. This simplest approach is forecasting a price a few bars ahead and basing your trading system on this forecast. Other traders forecast price change or percentage of the price change. This approach seldom yields better results than forecasting the price directly. Both the simplistic approaches fail to uncover and gainfully exploit most of the important longer-time interdependencies, due to which the model quickly becomes obsolete as the global driving forces change. 신용카드현금화

So what is the most optimal approach one should take with neural networks?

A successful trader will focus and spend quite a bit of time on selecting the governing input items and adjusting their parameters. He will spend from (at least) several weeks, and, sometimes, up to several months on deploying the network. A successful trader will be adjusting his net to the changing conditions throughout its life span.

How Can One’s Neural Net Be Improved?

The sad fact is that most of the time, most traders cannot possibly improve a neural network. But not all the news is bad – in fact, you don’t really need to, simply because it isn’t your neural network that needs to be improved for you to achieve better results. What really needs to be improved to that end is the data sets you use. From our extensive experience with neural networks, we can say that the following methods are the most efficient in improving neural network data sets:

Hitting the Bull’s Eye: How to Achieve the Best Results?

To speak the truth, in any event, provided the technology is applied correctly, you will gain more than you will lose, but you will be a real success with neural nets only when you stop looking for the best and, naturally, non-existing net. The key to your success with neural networks lies in having a strong idea about how to develop a committee of neural networks, whereby each of those would model a simplified object, and in combining this committee with classical filters and money management rules in sync with your risk preferences and trading style. 신용카드현금화

 

Single User License

This is an Agreement between, Alyuda Research, Inc. (“Alyuda”), owner of the Tradecision (“Software”), and you (“Licensee”), for the purpose of specifying the conditions under which Licensee will use the Software. 신용카드현금화

Important Notice

As part of the purchase process, you agree to accept the terms of this Agreement. This Agreement is a legal contract which specifies the terms of the license and warranty limitation between you and Alyuda for the Tradecision software and related documentation. You should carefully read the following terms and conditions before installing or using the Software. Unless you have entered into a separate written license agreement with Alyuda providing otherwise, installation or use of the Software indicates your agreement to be bound by these terms and conditions. If you do not agree to these terms, do not attempt to install or use the Software. 신용카드현금화

Grant of License

Alyuda hereby grants you a nonexclusive license to install and use the Software by a single individual.

The License is subject to the following restrictions. You may only:

• • install and use one copy of the Software on a single computer. You may also make a second copy of the Software, and install and use it on a home or portable computer used exclusively by you.
  • make one backup copy of the Software, provided your backup copy is not installed or used on any computer.

 

In addition, you shall not, nor permit any party to: (i) use the Software for the benefit of any third party, including without limitation, in an outsourcing or timesharing arrangement, or in the operation of a service bureau; (ii) sell, lease, loan, sublicense, distribute, or otherwise transfer the Software to any person, firm, or entity. Portions of the Software may not be used independently of the Software; (iii) reverse engineer, disassemble, decompile, or translate the Software, or otherwise attempt to derive the source code of the Software; (iv) reproduce, distribute, publicly perform or publicly display the Software except as expressly permitted above, and you may not create derivative works of the Software. 신용카드현금화

Upgrades

If the Software and related documentation are provided as an upgrade to an earlier licensed release of the Software, then you must have a valid license to operate such earlier release of the same version and edition as the upgrade to install or use the upgrade. All software being upgraded is deemed to be part of the Software and is subject to this Agreement.

Copyright

The Software is owned by Alyuda, Inc. and is protected by copyright laws and international treaty provisions, as well as other intellectual property laws and treaties. You shall treat the Software like any copyrighted material. Tradecision is the Intellectual Property of Alyuda. 신용카드현금화

No Additional Rights or Licenses

You acknowledge and agree that except for the rights granted in this Agreement, all other rights, and all title and interest in and to the Software (as an independent work and as an underlying work serving as a basis for any application you may develop) and related documentation remain the sole and exclusive property of Alyuda, and that you will not derive or assert any title or interest in or to the Software or related documentation. Without limiting the generality of the foregoing, you do not receive any rights to any patents, copyrights, trademarks rights to the Software or related documentation. This Agreement does not authorize you to use Alyuda’s name or any of its trademarks.

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The license granted for the Tradecision software will continue until it is terminated. Alyuda may terminate any license granted herein if you fail to comply with the terms of this Agreement. Upon the termination of a license for any reason, you must promptly return to Alyuda or destroy all copies of the Software and related documentation covered by the license.

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ALYUDA PROVIDES NO REMEDIES OR WARRANTIES, WHETHER EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, FOR THE SOFTWARE. THE SOFTWARE AND DOCUMENTATION ARE PROVIDED “AS IS.”

THESE REMEDIES ARE THE SOLE AND EXCLUSIVE REMEDIES AVAILABLE TO YOU FOR BREACH OF EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES WITH RESPECT TO THE SOFTWARE AND RELATED DOCUMENTATION. 신용카드현금화

THE FOREGOING WARRANTIES ARE IN LIEU OF ALL OTHER WARRANTIES, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO ANY WARRANTY OF NON- INFRINGEMENT, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. By way of example, without limitation, Alyuda provides no warranties of any kind to any end-users accessing or otherwise using applications developed or otherwise obtained by you.

The warranties do not cover damage or defects caused by or related to misuse, accident, negligence or misapplication. Because programs such as this are inherently complex, Alyuda does not warrant that the Software is error-free or will operate without interruption. Furthermore, Alyuda does not warrant that the Software will work with any given database, network or network application.

You acknowledge that due to the complexity of the Software, it is possible that use of the Software could lead to the unintentional loss or corruption of data. You assume all risks of such data loss or corruption; the warranties provided in this Agreement do not cover any damages or losses resulting from data loss or corruption. 신용카드현금화

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IN NO CASE SHALL ALYUDA BE LIABLE FOR ANY INDIRECT, INCIDENTAL, SPECIAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES OR LOSS, INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, LOST PROFITS OR THE INABILITY TO USE EQUIPMENT OR ACCESS DATA, WHETHER SUCH DAMAGES ARE BASED UPON A BREACH OF EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, BREACH OF CONTRACT, NEGLIGENCE, STRICT TORT, OR ANY OTHER LEGAL THEORY. THIS IS TRUE EVEN IF ALYUDA IS ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES.

Miscellaneous

This Agreement is the complete agreement between you and Alyuda concerning the Software and related documentation. The failure or delay of Alyuda to exercise any of its rights under this Agreement or upon any breach of this Agreement shall not be deemed a waiver of those rights or of the breach.

 

Most people have never heard of neural networks and, probably, don’t need to know what they are because of what these people do for a living. It comes as no stunning surprise if a mail man or a bar waitress does not possess a profound knowledge of the issue. But what’s really surprising it’s the fact that a huge number of those who could benefit richly from the neural network technology have either never even heard of it, take it for a lofty scientific idea or think of it as of a slick marketing gimmick. There are also those who pin all their hopes on neural networks, lionizing the nets after some positive experience with them and regarding them as a silver-bullet solution to any kind of problem. 출장마사지

All the above attitudes are quite understandable, for all of us get bombarded with TV commercials, pop-up ads, spam messages and door-to-door offerings -you name it- that make you feel like you live for the sole purpose of being sold stuff to. Wherever we are and whatever we are doing – watching football at home or roaming African velds through the Web, there’s always someone trying to pawn something off on us. However, the most important is to always be able to spot the real McCoy in this avalanche of debris. And high technologies are no exception.

Of course, neural networks are no quick-fix that will allow you to strike it rich by clicking a button or two, neither are they a new marketing stunt to make you shell out more money. And of course, they are not an uncorroborated theory or fruit of work of some crackpot scientists. Neural networks are a new, unique method of technical analysis, intended for those who take a thinking approach to their business and are willing to contribute some time and effort to make this method work for them. When applied correctly, neural networks can bring a profit on a regular basis. Well, after all, the latter is time-proven. 출장마사지

Why Neural Networks?

You may say, there are all kinds of things invented these days. Why should one pay that much attention to this specific method? The answer is very simple if you look at the current situation on the market. There is hardly anything that can give you some edge though – the market teems with top-notch professionals, conversant with every possible widely adopted method. And all of them are after that buck or pound you want too. Moreover, the traditional trend-following and technical analysis systems yield mediocre results and are geared toward dabblers and beginners who, lets face it, hardly ever make anything these days. No other currently used method of technical analysis can detect those hidden subtle non-linear interdependencies and patterns that neural networks can detect. For a serious thinking trader, neural networks are a next-generation tool, offering much better possibilities than any of the tools the crowd tinkers with.

The Most Powerful Technical Analysis Tool

A major misconception is that many traders mistake neural networks for a forecasting tool that can offer advice on how to act in a particular market situation. Neural networks do not make any forecasts, they analyze price data and uncover opportunities. But with them you can make a trade decision based on thoroughly analyzed data, which all those who use the traditional technical analysis methods do not merely have at their disposal. 신용카드현금화

Which of the Nets Are Better?

Just like any kind of great product or technology, neural networks have started attracting all those who were looking for a budding market. Torrents of ads about next-generation software flooded the market; ads celebrating the most powerful of all the NN algorithms ever created. Even in those rare cases when advertising claims resemble the truth, a 10% increase in efficiency will be the most you will ever get; and still there will be some data sets and task classes for which the previously used algorithms remain superior. Remember this: it’s not the algorithm that does the trick. Well-prepared input information on the targeted indicator is the most important component of your success with neural networks.

Fast Convergence: Good or Bad?

Many of those who have already appreciated the true value of neural networks mistakenly believe that the faster their net gives results to them, the better net it is. These people are in delusion. A good network is more of a compromise between the velocity at which it trains and the quality of the results it produces. 신용카드현금화

How Do Traders Normally Use their Nets?

Alas, improperly, most of the time. Why? Because they place too much trust in the software they use all without having been provided with proper instructions on how to use it correctly. To use a neural network the right way and, thus, gainfully, a trader ought to pay due attention to all the stages of the network preparation cycle. It is the trader and not his net who is responsible for inventing an idea, formalizing this idea, testing and improving it, and, finally, choosing the right moment when to dispose of it when it’s no longer useful. Let us enumerate and consider in more detail all the stages of this crucial process:

Many traders make the mistake of following the simplest path – they rely heavily on and use the approach for which their software provides the most user-friendly and automated functionality. This simplest approach is forecasting a price a few bars ahead and basing your trading system on this forecast. Other traders forecast price change or percentage of the price change. This approach seldom yields better results than forecasting the price directly. Both the simplistic approaches fail to uncover and gainfully exploit most of the important longer-time interdependencies, due to which the model quickly becomes obsolete as the global driving forces change. 신용카드현금화

So what is the most optimal approach one should take with neural networks?

A successful trader will focus and spend quite a bit of time on selecting the governing input items and adjusting their parameters. He will spend from (at least) several weeks, and, sometimes, up to several months on deploying the network. A successful trader will be adjusting his net to the changing conditions throughout its life span.

How Can One’s Neural Net Be Improved?

The sad fact is that most of the time, most traders cannot possibly improve a neural network. But not all the news is bad – in fact, you don’t really need to, simply because it isn’t your neural network that needs to be improved for you to achieve better results. What really needs to be improved to that end is the data sets you use. From our extensive experience with neural networks, we can say that the following methods are the most efficient in improving neural network data sets: 신용카드현금화

Hitting the Bull’s Eye: How to Achieve the Best Results?

To speak the truth, in any event, provided the technology is applied correctly, you will gain more than you will lose, but you will be a real success with neural nets only when you stop looking for the best and, naturally, non-existing net. The key to your success with neural networks lies in having a strong idea about how to develop a committee of neural networks, whereby each of those would model a simplified object, and in combining this committee with classical filters and money management rules in sync with your risk preferences and trading style.

 

Where is your edge?

Alyuda Tradecision provides with state-of-the-art artificial intelligence technologies that learn from historical data to help you find out the most auspicious times to buy and sell securities.

Advanced Neural Network Models
Four steps of New Model Wizard
Model Builder features
Model-based strategies
Analyze model quality
Prevent curve-fitting

Neural networks proved to be the best technology to predict (to some extent) future prices. All other statistical forecasting approaches perform much worse in stock price forecasting. But neural networks are not a “silver bullet.” They should be used consciously. Neural networks base their predictions on price data patterns they discovered in past data during their training.

The Tradecision Model Builder helps create successful neuro-models, use them in your strategies and thus make better trading systems than others. 출장마사지

Alyuda Tradecision interface is very easy to use. In fact you don’t need to have a mathematical or artificial intelligence background to work with wizard-based creation of neural models.

Another AI technology that proved to excel in optimization tasks is Genetic Algorithms. Alyuda Tradecision uses this approach to provide professional traders with bigger optimization power while creating trading systems. Genetic Algorithms are also used to optimize neuro-model inputs and their parameters.

Advanced Neural Network Models

Tradecision lets you exploit adaptable and precise constructive neural networks for price forecasting. Constructive networks are new state-of-the-art nets unlike any others you may have seen or tried before. These networks grow and train themselves during iterative price data analysis. 출장마사지

Neural model will analyze the symbol data of the current chart and forecast the specified number of bars ahead. A new neural model can be easily created using New Model Wizard that guides you through the process step by step.

Four steps of New Model Wizard

Step 1: Selecting target and lookahead
At this step you need to define model target and specify how far into the future you want the model to predict.

Step 2: Selecting training and test data ranges
At this step you need to define how much data will be used for model preparation. You can also manually allocate the portion of these data to be used for walk-forward testing.

Step 3: Selecting model inputs
At this step you need to define model inputs. You need to select indicators you think contain valuable data to predict model target. New Model Wizard can find optimal parameters for indicators that you use as inputs. 신용카드현금화

Step 4: Selecting strategy rules for performance testing
To test a neural model you need to define a strategy based on the model forecasts (model-based strategy).

Trading strategies produced by New Model Wizard are based solely on the model forecasts. These strategies produce buy/sell signals that depend only on model forecasts and therefore allow testing model performance only without affecting money management and indicator-based rules.

Model Builder features

You can analyze over 100 model performance figures trades generated by the model-based strategy.
You can verify statistical measures of the model forecasting quality with the Model Performance Report.
With Input Importance Chart you can understand relative importance of each model input.
Actual vs. Forecasted Graph displays a line graph of the actual and forecasted target values for all bars from
the training or test period. 신용카드현금화
Model-based signals can be inserted on the main chart for visual analysis with one click.
All models are automatically saved into internal database. At anytime you can edit, re-train or delete a model
stored in the database.

Model-based strategies

To test a model, Alyuda Tradecision applies a simple model-based strategy to historical data and finds out whether you would have made money had you traded based on that strategy. If you find that it was profitable and fits your trading personality, you can feel confident in using the model to make future trading decisions. 신용카드현금화

A major advantage of model testing using a model-based trading strategy is a possibility to rigorously test the model over different time and with different parameters.

To help you thoroughly analyze a model-based strategy Tradecision creates a Strategy Performance Report. The report provides detailed information about your strategy, including return on account, drawdowns, risk ratios, number of profitable/losing/outlier trades, as well as timing analysis. To ensure that the figures of the Strategy Performance Report are as close to reality as possible, you can factor in broker’s commissions and slippage.

For better performance, your strategy parameters can be optimized using Genetic Algorithms (GA) or exhaustive search.
Visit Trading Systems page for more details about strategy optimization.

Analyze model quality

With Model Performance Report you can analyze the quality of neural model forecasting using statistical ratios and graphs. You can also identify the reason of bad performance of your trading system. If the report ratios are good, you should rather change your strategy settings. If the report ratios are bad, you should improve your neural model.

The Model Performance Reports provides separate figures for training and walk-forward testing periods. The figures for walk-forward testing are much more important since they represent the model quality you’ll have when you use the model with new data. Usually, model performance with training period is better than with the testing one. A good model should have good performance with both periods. 신용카드현금화

Prevent curve-fitting

Curve-fitting is a dangerous shortcoming of neural network over-training. When a network over-trained it doesn’t “learn” price patterns or develop the ability to generalize, but simply memorizes historical price data or, in other words, fits its output to the price curve without learning internal dependencies.

An over-trained network can produce good results with a training set, but performs unexpectedly badly when used with new data.

Tradecision uses a special algorithm to identify a clear trend of over-training. It monitors validation error dynamics and training progress from different points of view.

Alyuda Research has released Tradecision™, the analytical software for active end-of-day traders. Tradecision™ includes the state-of-the-art features required in trading software for professionals, such as strategy development and testing tools, neural network predictions and strategies, over 10 analytical studies, comprising trends analysis, and advanced money management.

By automating neural network analysis, intuitive charting, and offering proven technical analysis tools, Tradecision™ gives traders the power to make fast and wise decisions. Its analysis is exceptionally accurate – making it a great assistant for serious and professional traders. 신용카드현금화

Tradecision™ offers

In Tradecision™ Alyuda Research Team has applied its thorough knowledge and expertise of Artificial Intelligence and Neural Networks trading software. In interaction with professional and successful traders from all around the world Alyuda’s specialists made it possible to create so powerful tool. Tradecision™ passed through the set of strict tests and chain of improvements that allow professionals to speak about issue a positively new and reliable piece of software.

Price and Availability
Tradecision™ comes in two different versions:

To download a free animated demo and product manual, visit: www.tradecision.com.

About Alyuda Research
Alyuda Research helps traders, managers and data analysis specialists to leverage the power of artificial intelligence. From 2001 Alyuda successfully develops and markets software products based on neural networks and other AI technologies. Alyuda offers innovative technology to support profitable trading decisions and improve trading professionalism. 신용카드현금화

# # #

For further information please contact:
Alex Grechanowski
Public Relations Manager
Email: pr2@alyuda.com
Web: www.alyuda.com
www.tradecision.com

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Trading methods are not only different and, most of the time, personalized ways of looking at the market or the developments that take place on it. In most cases, they turn into a sort of living entities that have their own histories and lives. Unlike some of the famous methods, shrouded in myths and invented by some celebrated, charismatic, and enigmatic personalities to whom they owe their popularity, the well-known Head & Shoulders method was neither concocted by any controversial trading guru nor is it promoted by the less lucky in trading offspring of the latter, who opted for the marketing of their great grandfather’s dubious legacy having considered the other option of setting up a diners for the local townies round the corner. And this is what gives another reason to look more closely at why the technique is so popular with so many traders. 신용카드현금화

How It Works, or You Still Need a Head on Those Shoulders

Basically, the head & shoulders technique is rather simple as compared to most other methods. You don’t need to painstakingly select any inputs to train your software, measure the planetary influence of Saturn or count the number of successful UFO landings on it. It’s all pretty much down to earth, and, probably, this is one the method’s major merits: you can clearly see the advantages and disadvantages of what you entrust your hard-earned bucks to.

The Head & Shoulders pattern is comprised of four equally important parts: the left shoulder, the head, the right shoulder and the neckline. The starting point for the formation of the figure on the whole, and the left shoulder in particular, becomes a sharp rise in the trend-line followed by a fall, a downward advance, and the largest volume in the pattern. The peak volume is accounted for by the growing number of buyers, joining in as the upward move continues. 신용카드현금화

Now we have the left shoulder. The head is formed by an upward and shorter advance toward the highest peak in the formation, a fall, and a peak volume for this part of the figure. The right shoulder starts with a high-volume sell-off and an upward trend. This upward trend breaks lower than the head peak to cause the volume to fall to the lowest point in the pattern as the public starts awakening to the reversal in the making. The main element in the pattern is the neckline, drawn between the lowermost points of the shoulders. The pattern is complete when the neckline, being a support line, is pierced by the right shoulder. The “lifespan” of the pattern is normally from several weeks to several months, and it’s unlikely to be suitable for use over the longer haul. One the face of it, getting the hang of the whole thing is like a cinch: definitely no nerdy background is a requirement. But as a thinking trader you are aware that everything can be so simple only in that software with the one magic button, fools spend their whole lives looking for. Therefore, what are the pitfalls and how to avoid them?

Identifying the Familiar Silhouette

A really big problem about the Head & Shoulders method is that if you really want that to happen, you’ll see signs of the pattern occurring everywhere. A sign of a true occurrence of the pattern is a very sharp rise in the price and a distinctly large volume this rise is accompanied with. 신용카드현금화

Also, one should always bear it in mind that for this specific pattern volume is of greatest importance. A very low volume on the right shoulder means that a reversal is happening. A true reversal is also accompanied by the price falling far enough below the neck-line. The market tries to overcome the previous high, fails to do so, and, thus, experiences the deepest drop for the entire pattern. Most probably, it is largely this simple, “trustworthy”, and entirely logical explanation that the technique owes the trust many traders put in it to. Please note, that if the price trend-line is simply bobbing along the neckline, you may well expect an upward move.

Another helpful sign is that the peaks of the two shoulders should take roughly the same amount of time to develop and be roughly of the same height. 신용카드현금화